Look for our fantasy baseball starting pitcher rankings, hitter upgrades and downgrades daily to help you make smart fantasy baseball lineup decisions and for MLB betting tips. MLB game odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook, and fantasy advice is geared towards ESPN 10-team leagues with standard scoring.
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Note: This file has been updated with overnight pitching changes and weather-related game postponements, along with the addition of the latest MLB game odds as of the indicated time of publication.
What you need to know for Monday’s MLB Games
By Todd Zola
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Set those alarms, west coasters. Patriots Day is celebrated in Boston with the running of the Boston Marathon along with an 11:10 AM start in Fenway Park. This may be a proud tradition in New England, but having to set lineups so early, especially out west, is not as well received. You can be sure Shohei Ohtani will have an early wake-up call as he and the Angels wrap up their four-game set in Beantown. Brayan Bello is slated to come off the IL and make his 2023 debut. The second year righty threw six frames in his only rehab start. Bello is a promising starter, but he’s been overly reliant on his change-up. He’s working on expanding his repertoire but trusting him against a lineup including Mike Trout and Ohtani is risky.
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The other 12 games on the slate are evening affairs. The top-ranked spot starter on the docket is Alex Wood (3.8% rostered in ESPN leagues). Wood will take the hill in loanDepot park, to be opposed by Jesus Luzardo. It’s a tough match-up as Luzardo is showing signs of finally attaining ace status, but Wood squares off with the lowest scoring team in MLB.
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Facing the Oakland Athletics has been an early season elixir for a few struggling starting pitchers. Hayden Wesneski (4.9%) has a chance to follow suit when the Cubs open an interleague set in RingCentral Coliseum. Wesneski was pounded for seven runs in 1.1 innings last time out at home versus Seattle, but at least only two were earned. Still, he yielded five hits and four walks. Oakland fans at an above average clip while walking less than league average.
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The scenario for Hunter Gaddis (.7%) isn’t ideal, as it’s best to stream pitchers at home, but like with both Wood and Wesneski, a lesser opponent tips the scales in the pitcher’s favor. The Guardians take the short trip to Detroit for an AL Central affair. Gaddis will need to step up with Triston McKenzie and Aaron Civale both on the IL. He’s been hit hard by the Mariners and Yankees, two solid lineups, but he held the Athletics scoreless over six frames. Look for a similar effort against the Tigers, whose wOBA is the lowest in the league. Plus, Detroit sports the American League’s highest strikeout rate.
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Monday marks the beginning of a three-game set in Coors Field with the Rockies entertaining the Pirates. Right-handed batters from both clubs are licking their chops with southpaw Kyle Freeland and Rich Hill slated to take the hill. With another lefty, Austin Gomber, scheduled to pitch for Colorado on Wednesday, focusing on the Pirates means you can use a pickup again in two days. Carlos Santana (18.1%), Ke’Bryan Hayes (15.6%), Andrew McCutchen 16.7%), Rodolfo Castro (.9%) and ex-Rockie Connor Joe (.6%) should all be in your crosshairs.
Starting pitcher rankings for Monday
Bullpen usage watch for Monday
By Todd Zola
With the reminder that many league lock moves early today with the 11:10 AM ET game in Fenway Park, there are several closers with questionable availability for Monday.
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Devin Williams needed a whopping 33 pitches to preserve Sunday’s 1-0 win for the Brewers in San Diego. Williams threw only 16 strikes as he walked two while fanning three. With Wade Miley giving the Brewers seven shutout innings, only Peter Strzelecki was needed as a bridge, so Matt Bush is rested and the likely closer if needed today.
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Scott Barlow was brought into a tie game in the ninth. The Royals were at home, so this is standard usage of a reliever since there is no longer a chance for a save for the home team. Barlow was tagged with the loss after the Braves pushed across a run. He threw 16 pitches after tossing 17 on Saturday, likely getting Barlow Monday off. Aroldis Chapman also worked yesterday, throwing a rather high 23 pitches, but since he last worked previously on April 11, he could be asked to close it out today.
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David Bednar picked up a win on Saturday, then followed up with a scoreless ninth yesterday, sending the Pirates and Cardinals into extra innings. The chances are slim for Bednar to be used for a third consecutive day. Colin Holderman also pitched in both contests, leaving Duane Underwood and Robert Stephenson as the main options for a Monday save, David Robertson was also needed for both weekend games. If the Mets need to lock down a win today, Adam Ottavino should be ready. He threw 28 pitches on Saturday, but was not used yesterday. Lefty Brooks Raley is also in the mix for the series opener against the Dodgers, especially to match up with Freddie Freeman.
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With Andres Munoz out, Seattle has used Paul Sewald as their primary closer and he sealed wins yesterday and Friday, throwing 27 total pitches in the process. Matt Brash is in line to log his first MLB save this evening, with Diego Castillo also in the picture.
Best Sub-50% Rostered Hitters for Monday
Best and worst hitters from the day are generated by THE BAT X, a projection system created by Derek Carty using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing, and lots more.
Worst Over-50% Rostered Hitters for Monday
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Salvador Perez (KC, C — 91%) vs. Jacob deGrom
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MJ Melendez (KC, C — 76%) vs. deGrom
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Jordan Walker (STL, 3B — 63%) vs. Merrill Kelly
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Andres Gimenez (CLE, 2B — 88%) at Matthew Boyd
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Matt Chapman (TOR, 3B — 93%) at Cristian Javier
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Bobby Witt Jr. (KC, SS — 98%) vs. deGrom
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Jake Cronenworth (SD, 2B — 91%) vs. Fried
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Jeremy Pena (HOU, SS — 66%) vs. Kevin Gausman
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Teoscar Hernandez (SEA, RF — 74%) vs. Corbin Burnes
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Alec Bohm (PHI, 3B — 77%) at Lance Lynn